Evangelicals Remain Loyal to Trump, but Competitors See an Opportunity to Challenge
- Posted on April 20, 2023
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- By Top Stories
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According to interviews with evangelical leaders by Reuters and various opinion polls, a considerable portion of conservative Christian voters continues to pledge their loyalty to former President Donald Trump. However, there is still a chance for an opponent to diminish some of this support.
The support of evangelical voters is critical for triumphing in the Iowa caucus, which will hold the initial presidential nomination contest for the 2024 election in the coming year, as well as other Republican states that vote early, including South Carolina.

The consequences are significant. If a
challenger garners robust evangelical support at the outset of the Republican
primary, it could present an opportunity to deal a blow to Trump, the current
front-runner for the nomination, and hinder his progress.
Despite Trump's two divorces and ongoing legal
issues related to allegations of paying hush money to a porn star, he has
managed to retain the support of evangelicals. They attribute his successes in
enacting conservative policies, including the U.S. Supreme Court's decision to
overturn federal abortion protections, as reasons for their continued loyalty.
Edison Research exit polls show that Trump
secured 76% of the white evangelical vote in the 2020 election, a slight
decrease from the 80% he received in 2016. A November 2020 Reuters/Ipsos survey
revealed that roughly one-third of American adults identify as evangelical or
born-again Christians.
Interviews with evangelical leaders and
opinion polls indicate that there is presently an opportunity for another
candidate, such as Ron DeSantis, the Governor of Florida and Trump's main
competitor, to attract some of the evangelical votes that have been previously
cast for the former president.
Indicators suggest that there may be a limited
window for those voters to unite in support of Trump.
Earlier this year, Pastor Robert Jeffress, a
significant evangelical leader who oversees a 14,000-member congregation in
Dallas, expressed uncertainty about his support for a Republican candidate in
the 2024 election. However, Jeffress informed Reuters this week that he is now
firmly backing Trump. He expressed his lack of enthusiasm for Ron DeSantis, who
has not yet announced his presidential candidacy, describing him as "uninspiring."
Jeffress remarked that many individuals are
not familiar with DeSantis, and he has not recently taken any actions that
would influence evangelical voters.
According to Monmouth University's nationwide
survey, Trump appears to be gaining traction with evangelicals. In a poll
conducted in March, Trump received 51% of the evangelical vote in a two-way
race against DeSantis, who obtained 42%. This represents a nine-point surge for
Trump compared to the previous month.
The results of a Des Moines Register survey of
Iowa voters conducted in March also underscored the continued support for Trump
among evangelicals. Among this group, 58% expressed a favorable view of the
former president, while 39% had an unfavorable opinion, and 3% were unsure.
Bill Bolin, an evangelical pastor in Howell,
Michigan, who garnered attention in 2020 for refusing to close his church to
comply with state health regulations during the pandemic's onset, claimed that
his congregation is divided on the path forward. He stated that "a lot of
people" are hopeful that Trump will lead the way, while others are hoping
for a different candidate. Currently, he believes that the congregation is
split.
Evangelicals attribute the reversal of the
constitutional protections for abortion in Roe v. Wade to Trump's appointment
of Supreme Court justices and his decision to relocate the U.S. embassy in
Israel to Jerusalem. However, religious leaders who spoke with Reuters claimed
that since abortion is no longer a pressing federal issue, the concerns of
evangelicals are now largely related to transgender athletes and gender
identity.
Jeffress asserted that these issues would be
the primary motivator for evangelicals to participate in large numbers at the
polls.
A representative for DeSantis chose not to
comment, and despite attempts to reach out for comment, a spokesperson for
Trump did not respond.
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